How Screwed Are The Eagles With Mark Sanchez As Their Starting QB

The Philadelphia Eagles beat the Houston Texans on Sunday, bringing their record to 6-2 — good for sole possession of first place in the NFC East. They also moved up two slots in our NFL Elo rankings; at the moment, their 1584 Elo rating ranks eighth among all NFL teams.But it wasn’t all good news for the Eagles on Sunday. The team’s starting quarterback, Nick Foles, suffered a “cracked” collarbone on the final play of the first quarter, necessitating an appearance by backup Mark Sanchez. While Sanchez played reasonably well in the victory, tossing a pair of touchdowns and posting a Total QBR of 53.4 (the NFL average for QBR is 50), there’s no small degree of trepidation among Eagles fans about the prospect of moving forward with Sanchez as the team’s starting QB for the next six to eight weeks.Anytime a team loses its starting quarterback, there’s a clear drop-off in performance. To quantify that decline, I went back and gathered data from every NFL game since 1978 in which a team was missing its regular starter at quarterback (defined as a QB who started at least 10 of 16 games for the team during the season). According to the Elo ratings going into those 1,585 games, which ostensibly assume the regular starter is playing, the starter-less teams should have expected to win 46 percent of the time. In actuality, they only won at a 37 percent clip.Essentially, a group of teams with an average pre-game Elo rating of 1478 played like they collectively deserved a 1419 rating. If the Eagles followed the same formula, we might surmise their “true” Elo rating without Foles would drop similarly to 1525, effectively making them the 18th-best team in football instead of the eighth-best.Making matters worse for Philadelphia, the numbers say that Foles is better than the typical starting quarterback — and that Sanchez is far worse. Since his NFL debut in 2012, Foles has been the sixth-most efficient passer in the league, according to adjusted net yards per attempt (ANY/A). Meanwhile, over the years in which Sanchez was the New York Jets’ starting quarterback (2009 to 2012), he posted the worst ANY/A in the NFL among QBs with 800 or more attempts.But when we look at the aforementioned dataset of backup-quarterback games since 1978, the post-game shift to a team’s Elo rating doesn’t bear any relationship to the disparity between the career ANY/A rates of the starter and the backup. In other words, the Eagles’ Elo rating is likely to decline with each successive game in which they are forced to start Sanchez instead of Foles, but it’s hard to say how much the difference between Foles’ career resume and Sanchez’s resume matters.Besides, there’s also evidence that Foles’s passing isn’t even the reason the Eagles have been winning this season. The team’s defense and special teams have been among the best in the NFL, while the team’s offense has underwhelmed. Although Foles’s numbers were otherworldly in 2013, his passing efficiency has been average at best in 2014 thus far, in no small part because the incredibly low interception rate he posted in 2013 has (predictably) regressed to the mean.There’s no question that the Eagles are worse off because of the injury to Foles, and it makes a material difference to their playoff odds going forward. But things may not be quite as dire for Philadelphia as they seem. read more

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PDM reveals TCI financial plan in Budget debate

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppTurks and Caicos, April 18, 2017 – Grand Turk – Historically today, the Turks and Caicos will hear the financial plan of a new government which is led by a lady, who also happens to be the country’s Minister of Finance, Investment and Trade, Hon Sharlene Robinson.It has been 13 years since the People’s Democratic Movement as Government has laid out their fiscal strategy for the Turks and Caicos Islands, and while the budget is said to have a continuation of many PNP projects there are allotments which the PDM is touting as characteristic of what their party deems important to national development.In a debrief this morning, Speaker of the House of Assembly, Hon Dwayne Taylor shared with Magnetic Media that coverage of the session will be wide with live streaming online at Facebook courtesy of Life Productions, on Digicel Play Ch2 also courtesy of Life Productions; on radio via Radio Turks and Caicos which also has live audio streaming from its website and aired over Ch53 on the PTV network and there is live coverage by 4News on the Digicel network.Hon Taylor said he anticipates 100% attendance by all elected and appointed members of Parliament for the convening which opened at 10am and opening prayer is by Rev. Claire Robinson. Acting Attorney General, Dr. Michael Dillon will be sworn in to fill the ex-officio role of the AG in the House of Assembly, as Hon RhondaLee Braithwaite-Knowles is absent.The Appropriations Bill 2017-2018 will be presented by Premier Robinson, a rebuttal by the Leader of the Opposition PNP or a designate will follow.    “It is expected that debate on the Budget will take up most of the proceedings and we expect that the Bill will go through all three readings today,” explained Speaker Taylor.While you never know, the Speaker said he expects there to be no hiccups in HOA operations today, and announced that within this fiscal year it is expected that the House of Assembly will again be relocated for 3-4 months for repairs, which includes the leaky roof of the NJS Francis Building, which is where parliament is housed.  The building is a part of an already heralded ‘green project’ by the PDM Administration.Two other bills are on the agenda for a possible first reading, and the hot button issue of service charges to hospitality workers will see the Private Members Motion requesting an amendment to the law likely to a second reading within this session which runs until this Friday, April 21, 2017.The Premier does have the prerogative to re-order the agenda, so things could change explained the Speaker.  On the order paper, five questions from the Opposition; four from Leeward and Long Bay Hills member, Hon Akierra Missick and one question from Appointed member for the PNP, Hon Royal Robinson.The House of Assembly is currently in session.#MagneticMediaNews#HOAinsession#historicdayinTCIHouseofAssembly Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Related Items:#historicdayinTCIHouseofAssembly, #HOAinsession, #magneticmedianewslast_img read more

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What Was Life Like Beside Bowie New Doc On Guitarist Mick Ronson

first_img New Rock Doc On Bowie Guitarist Mick Ronson what-was-life-beside-bowie-new-doc-guitarist-mick-ronson Email Twitter News What Was Life Like Beside Bowie? New Doc On Guitarist Mick Ronson Facebook Guitar great and David Bowie’s early ’70s musical partner is the subject of a new documentary out this fall Nate HertweckGRAMMYs Aug 31, 2017 – 5:52 pm As of late, more and more compelling music documentaries have been unearthing the stories behind the eras and albums we love. This fall, glam-rock guitar great Mick Ronson’s story gets its own rock doc.Behind Bowie: The Mick Ronson Story follows Ronson’s prolific career from his work with David Bowie as guitarist in the Spiders From Mars to his work with Lou Reed on his 1972 classic album, Transformer, and then with Bob Dylan as part of the Rolling Thunder Review live band in 1975–1976.”I spent a little time with David [Bowie],” Queen drummer Roger Taylor says in the trailer, “and he used to say when I found Mick Ronson, I found my Jeff Beck.”Ronson’s untimely death in 1993 at age 46 came far too soon, and Bowie said of his musical sideman, “If Mick had lived on, he would have become a major producer and arranger, and of course, he would have remained one of rock’s great guitar players.”The film hits select theaters Sept. 1 and home video Oct. 27.Read More: James Murphy On Advice From David Bowie, Being “Done” With Producinglast_img read more

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